Here's the thing about my husband: even in the toughest moments, when it seems like all is lost, Barack Obama never loses sight of the end goal. He never lets himself get distracted by the chatter and the noise, even if it comes from some of his best supporters. He just keeps moving forward...When it comes to historical perspective, the next 5 months clearly wouldn't be considered the long term. But compared to how the MSM and political pundits are looking at things these days - its an eternity. We need to keep that in mind when we read their analysis of this presidential race. Especially in response to this week's jobs report.
If we keep showing up, if we keep fighting the good fight and doing what we know is right, then eventually we will get there.
We always have.
- Michelle Obama
There's likely a lot that will happen over the next 5 months that we can't predict. But sit back for a moment and reflect with me about what it is we DO know. I think it helps.
The first thing we can expect is a ruling on Obamacare from SCOTUS sometime later this month. What we don't know is how they'll rule. But as I said a few days ago, the worse possible scenario would be that they rule it unconstitutional. That means health care reform moves up on the agenda for the campaign and Republicans will have to start talking about the "replace" part of "repeal and replace"...not a good position for them to be in.
Not too long after that the political pundits will be silenced for two weeks as the whole world focuses on nothing but the 2012 Summer Olympics in London. Take a breath for a while because about the only political story we're likely to hear during those 2 weeks is whether or not Prime Minister David Cameron will acknowledge Romney's presence in England (hint: not likely).
Not long after the Olympics, it will be time for Romney to announce his Vice Presidential pick. Rumors will swell for awhile, but in the end, its likely Romney will play it safe after the disaster that was Palin 4 years ago. And then comes the Republican Convention the last week in August. Prepare yourself for a Romney bounce in the polls after its over...always happens. But you KNOW that the media will spin it like its the certain doom of President Obama.
Early September will bring not only the back-to-school focus, but the Democratic Convention. That's when President Obama will re-take center stage and we'll be off to the races for the really intense part of this presidential election with everyone (including those low-info voters) paying attention.
Finally will come the presidential debates where Romney's lies about President Obama will have to meet their actual real life opponent face to face - with everyone watching. This is the part of the campaign that I can't wait to see.
Will Romney continue to avoid talking about his own disastrous plans for the economy and laughable foreign policy by trying to focus only on what President Obama has/has not done? If so, that will give the President a platform to talk about The Road We've Traveled over these last 4 years, touting the fact that "Osama is dead and GM is alive."
Or perhaps Romney will actually present his plans for the country which are simply re-treads of what got us in trouble in the first place. Can you see him making a case for tax cuts for the wealthy and fewer regulations for Wall Street? No matter the shape of the economy at that point, it will be the time that the American people are expecting a clear plan about what the candidates plan to do. Romney's got nothing but "Bush on steroids" and his own weak record in Massachusetts. It will show.
Of course, as all this is going on there will be the battle between the Super PACs on the airwaves and President Obama's notorious ground game. The former will probably get lots of media air time and the latter is likely to go pretty much unnoticed...except for results.
I'd suggest that as the media focuses on the "doom and gloom" of this week's economic news, people like President Obama and David Plouffe are thinking ahead to these kinds events and have a plan in place. We've seen them do it over and over again. Why should we expect anything different this time?