"We went into the evening confident we had a good path to victory," said one senior adviser. "I don't think there was one person who saw this coming."...What it comes down to is the same thing both President Obama and President Clinton have tried to point out when it comes to dealing with Republicans about the federal budget...they don't believe in arithmetic.
"He was shellshocked," one adviser said of Romney.
Romney and his campaign had gone into the evening confident they had a good path to victory, for emotional and intellectual reasons. The huge and enthusiastic crowds in swing state after swing state in recent weeks - not only for Romney but also for Paul Ryan - bolstered what they believed intellectually: that Obama would not get the kind of turnout he had in 2008.
They thought intensity and enthusiasm were on their side this time - poll after poll showed Republicans were more motivated to vote than Democrats - and that would translate into votes for Romney.
As a result, they believed the public/media polls were skewed - they thought those polls oversampled Democrats and didn't reflect Republican enthusiasm. They based their own internal polls on turnout levels more favorable to Romney. That was a grave miscalculation, as they would see on election night.
Their substitute is what Stephen Colbert so prophetically called "truthiness" way back in 2005.
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|The Word - Truthiness|